為何法國與英國決定在9月承認巴勒斯坦是一個國家

2025-07-31

在2025年夏季,巴勒斯坦建國的國際呼聲再次升高,而這一次,動作來自過去立場較為謹慎的西方大國——英國與法國,並引發國際社會高度關注。英、法兩國對巴勒斯坦國地位的態度轉變,被視為對以色列長期軍事行動、尤其是其在加薩地區持續不斷的攻勢的回應,也隱含著對美國偏袒以色列立場的間接反制。

首先是法國在先前已明確表態,若以色列未在短期內實現停火,法方將於9月正式承認巴勒斯坦為主權國家。緊接著,英國也罕見地發出類似警告——英國政府指出,若以色列持續對加薩展開軍事行動且拒絕實現持久停火,那麼英國也將於今年9月正式承認巴勒斯坦國。

此一聲明背後的政治壓力不可小覷。英國國會內有超過200名跨黨派議員,聯名向首相凱爾·斯塔默(Keir Starmer)施壓,要求立即承認巴勒斯坦國。他們認為,若英國真心支持「兩國方案」(Two-State Solution),便不能繼續等待和觀望,而應以實際行動來支持巴勒斯坦的國家地位與其人民的合法權利。

與此同時,歐洲其他國家也陸續展開行動。西班牙、挪威、愛爾蘭、斯洛文尼亞等國已經於去年5月宣布正式承認巴勒斯坦為主權國,並呼籲其他歐盟成員國跟進。此外,還有多個非歐洲國家也表達類似立場,形成一波全球性、具有外交重量的承認潮。

為何現在有越來越多西方國家願意承認巴勒斯坦?主要原因可以歸納為三點:首先,是以色列自2023年以來對加薩的持續軍事打擊,造成大量平民傷亡,引發國際輿論強烈不滿,尤其是在人權團體與年輕世代選民中的反感情緒日益高漲,讓各國政府不得不重新審視其中東政策。

其次,是「兩國方案」多年來毫無實質進展,巴勒斯坦的國家地位始終停滯不前,領土日益被以色列屯墾所蠶食。這讓越來越多國家認為,唯有直接承認巴勒斯坦國,才能突破現狀,給予巴勒斯坦人在國際法框架下的基本尊嚴與談判籌碼。

第三,則是地緣政治的微妙轉變。拜登政府雖然表面上支持兩國方案,但在實際政策上仍偏向以色列,導致美國在部分歐洲國家眼中喪失道德領導地位。法國與英國此時選擇「另起爐灶」,某種程度上也是在中東問題上重新定位歐洲的外交自主性。

這股西方承認潮意味著,巴勒斯坦國的國際地位正逐步獲得肯定,也給以色列政府及其盟友帶來新的外交壓力。雖然距離全面建國與實質和平仍有漫長距離,但國際局勢正在發生明顯轉變,象徵著對現狀不再忍讓的態度,也是一場關於正義與歷史定位的全球外交角力。

In the summer of 2025, international calls for the recognition of a Palestinian state have once again surged—this time led by two traditionally cautious Western powers: the United Kingdom and France. Their shift in stance has drawn significant global attention and is widely interpreted as a response to Israel’s prolonged military actions, particularly its ongoing offensive in the Gaza Strip. It also signals a subtle challenge to the United States, which many perceive as continuing to shield Israel diplomatically.

France was the first to make its position clear, stating that if Israel failed to implement a ceasefire in the near term, it would officially recognize Palestine as a sovereign state by September. Shortly after, the United Kingdom issued a rare but similarly firm statement: if Israel continues its military operations in Gaza and refuses to establish a lasting ceasefire, the UK will also recognize the State of Palestine in September.

 

This declaration did not arise in a vacuum. Over 200 cross-party Members of Parliament in the UK have jointly pressured Prime Minister Keir Starmer to take immediate action to recognize Palestinian statehood. They argue that if the UK truly supports the Two-State Solution, it can no longer delay or remain passive—it must back up its stated principles with concrete diplomatic moves, affirming the Palestinian people’s right to self-determination and legal sovereignty.

Meanwhile, other European nations have already moved forward. In May 2024, Spain, Norway, Ireland, and Slovenia formally recognized Palestine as a sovereign state, and called on fellow EU members to follow suit. Several non-European countries have also expressed similar support, creating a growing wave of international recognition with substantial diplomatic weight. Why are more and more Western countries now willing to recognize Palestine? The shift can largely be attributed to three key factors:

First, Israel’s relentless military operations in Gaza since 2023 have resulted in massive civilian casualties, sparking global outrage. Human rights organizations, younger generations, and progressive civil societies across the West have become increasingly critical of the status quo, forcing governments to reevaluate their Middle East policies under mounting public pressure.

Second, the Two-State Solution has seen little to no progress over the past decade. Palestine’s statehood remains stalled, with its territory steadily eroded by Israeli settlement expansion. Many countries now believe that only through the direct recognition of Palestine can the deadlock be broken—providing Palestinians with the dignity and leverage they have long been denied under international law.

Third, a subtle shift in geopolitical dynamics is underway. While the Biden administration publicly supports the Two-State Solution, its actual policies continue to heavily favor Israel. This has led some European governments to question the moral leadership of the U.S. France and the UK’s decision to chart their own path on the issue represents, in part, a reassertion of European diplomatic autonomy on Middle East affairs.

This growing wave of recognition from the West marks a turning point for Palestine’s international status and increases pressure on the Israeli government and its allies. Although full statehood and lasting peace remain distant goals, the momentum signals a profound shift in global attitudes—a collective refusal to accept the status quo, and a renewed diplomatic battle over justice, legitimacy, and the historical reckoning of one of the world’s longest-running conflicts.