2025年11月7日，德國聯合行動司令部司令亞歷山大·索爾弗蘭克中將在柏林聯邦國防軍年度會議上表示，德國已做好與俄羅斯開戰的準備，並計畫協助北約在180天內向俄羅斯邊境部署多達80萬兵力。這一言論立即引發國內外媒體關注，也引發對歐洲安全局勢的廣泛討論。

這項部署計畫源自德國在2024年公佈的《德國行動計畫》。根據檔規定，如果北約與俄羅斯發生衝突並觸發集體防禦條款，德國將充當後勤樞紐，協助北約在180天內完成80萬兵力及其裝備的部署。計畫細節包括升級交通基礎設施、擴建現有軍事基地以及其他後勤支援措施，以確保在衝突爆發時部隊能快速集結與行動。

德國方面強調，俄羅斯可能隨時發動攻擊，索爾弗蘭克甚至指出，俄方“最早明天”就可能對北約採取行動。德國總理默茨及國防部長皮斯托裡烏斯則公開表示，俄羅斯的威脅甚至關乎德國的生存。然而，俄羅斯方面對此予以強烈否認，稱相關說法“毫無根據”，重申無意攻擊北約，並指責德國誇大威脅以作為增加軍費的藉口。

德國近期的政策傾向也顯示出更強硬的軍事姿態，包括在立陶宛永久駐軍，以及將軍費提高至國內生產總值的2%。同時，北約與俄羅斯在波羅的海和黑海地區的軍事對峙有所加劇。然而，俄羅斯主力部隊仍約有60萬兵力深陷烏克蘭戰場，主動對北約發起攻擊的可能性被多方分析人士認為相對較低。

在國際層面，歐洲內部對俄羅斯的態度存在分歧。法國、義大利等國傾向通過外交途徑解決衝突，而非軍事對抗。分析指出，北約與俄羅斯之間可能因誤判而引發軍事摩擦，核威懾升級及歐洲經濟困境也可能加劇局勢風險。尤其是德國經濟在2025年增長預期僅為0.2%至0.4%，若同時面臨高額軍費支出與地緣政治緊張，整體安全環境將更加脆弱。

整體而言，德國的軍事部署計畫與北約合作表態，反映了歐洲對俄羅斯潛在威脅的高度警覺，也揭示在烏克蘭戰爭背景下，歐洲安全局勢的複雜性與不確定性。此事件不僅引發國際關注，也可能對歐洲內部政治、經濟及軍事決策產生深遠影響。

On November 7, 2025, German Joint Operations Commander Lieutenant General Alexander Sollfrank stated at the annual Bundeswehr conference in Berlin that Germany is fully prepared for a potential conflict with Russia and plans to assist NATO in deploying up to 800,000 troops to the Russian border within 180 days. His remarks immediately drew widespread media attention both domestically and internationally, sparking intense discussion about European security dynamics.

The deployment plan originates from Germany’s 2024 German Operational Plan. According to the document, if a conflict between NATO and Russia triggers the collective defense clause, Germany would act as a logistical hub, assisting NATO in the rapid deployment of 800,000 troops and their equipment within 180 days. The plan includes upgrading transportation infrastructure, expanding existing military bases, and other logistical measures to ensure that forces can be mobilized and deployed quickly in the event of hostilities.

German officials have stressed the potential threat posed by Russia, with Sollfrank noting that Russia could “attack NATO as soon as tomorrow.” German Chancellor Mertz and Defense Minister Pistorius have publicly stated that Russia’s threat could even endanger Germany’s survival. However, Russia has strongly rejected these claims, calling them “groundless,” reiterating that it has no intention of attacking NATO, and accusing Germany of exaggerating the threat to justify increased military spending.

Germany’s recent policy shifts also reflect a more assertive military stance, including the permanent stationing of troops in Lithuania and increasing defense spending to 2% of GDP. Meanwhile, military tensions between NATO and Russia have intensified in the Baltic and Black Sea regions. Nonetheless, Russia’s main forces—approximately 600,000 troops—remain heavily engaged in Ukraine, making the likelihood of a proactive attack on NATO generally considered low by analysts.

Internationally, European countries remain divided on how to approach Russia. Nations such as France and Italy advocate for resolving conflicts through diplomacy rather than military confrontation. Analysts have also warned that miscalculations between NATO and Russia, combined with the escalation of nuclear deterrence and economic challenges in Europe, could increase the risk of instability. Germany, for instance, is projected to experience only 0.2%–0.4% GDP growth in 2025, and the additional burden of high military expenditures amid geopolitical tensions could further strain its domestic and regional stability.

Overall, Germany’s military deployment plans in coordination with NATO reflect heightened vigilance toward potential Russian threats and underscore the complex and uncertain nature of European security in the context of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The developments not only attract global attention but may also have far-reaching implications for European political, economic, and military decision-making.